Mortgage prepayments, a common gauge for housing and refinancing demand, jumped to its highest level since May 2013—a good sign for the market, according to a new analysis from data and analytics firm Black Knight. Mortgage prepayments were at 1.81% in October, more than double the figure a year ago. That represents a 134% year-over-year increase, Black Knight reports.
What’s causing the improvement? Low mortgage rates are prompting more people to refinance their mortgage or buy a home. Consumers typically pay off previous loans when they buy a new home.The uptick is apparent: Existing-home sales increased 1.9% in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.46 million—4.6% higher than a year ago, the National Association of REALTORS® reported last week.
While prepayments are rising, mortgage delinquencies decreased to 3.39% in October, which is just 3 basis points from a record low set in May. The lowest mortgage delinquencies are in Colorado, Washington, and Oregon, the report notes.
Source: “Mortgage Prepays Surge to 6-Year High, Black Knight Says,” HousingWire (Nov. 25, 2019)